The Role of Scenario Planning in Achieving Institutional Excellence in Organizations for People with Disabilities in the Southern Governorates of Palestine "A Field Study"

Abstract

The study aimed to identify the role of scenario planning in achieving institutional excellence within organizations for persons with disabilities in the southern governorates of Palestine. The researcher adopted the descriptive analytical approach, relying on a questionnaire as the primary tool for data collection from the target group. A comprehensive survey method was employed, covering the study population of 90 individuals, consisting of board members and executive directors. A total of 83 valid questionnaires were retrieved, representing a response rate of 92.2%. Data were analyzed using the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS). The results indicated that the degree of scenario planning implementation was moderate, with a relative weight of 67.62%, while the level of institutional excellence was also rated as moderate, with a relative weight of 67%. The findings revealed a strong positive correlation between the dimensions of scenario planning and institutional excellence. Regression analysis showed that the most influential dimensions on institutional excellence were: "identifying participants," "identifying influencers," "identifying unknown future factors," and "formulating strategy," whereas the remaining dimensions had no significant impact. The results also showed statistically significant differences in the degree of scenario planning implementation attributed to the gender variable in favor of females, and to the job title variable in favor of board chairpersons. However, no significant differences were found related to academic qualification or years of service. The study recommended several actions, most notably: developing mechanisms to involve experts and specialists in strategic planning, enhancing the capacities of board members and executive directors through training on strategic analysis techniques and skills, encouraging innovation, and strengthening various incentive systems.